Latest matchday stakes
Senegal vs Iraq (2026-06-26, 15:00 ET, BMO Field, Toronto) remains the key fixture for this scenario page. Determines 3I. Winner has 3 pts; draw likely leaves Senegal third on GD.
The live result paths still center on Senegal and Iraq and their effect on the automatic spots plus the third-place table.
- Norway W; Senegal W: Norway 1st; France 2nd; Senegal 3rd. Senegal 3 pts; needs third-place table help.
- Norway W; Senegal-Iraq draw: Norway 1st; France 2nd; likely Senegal 3rd. Senegal 1 pt; almost certainly out.
- Norway W; Iraq W: Norway 1st; France 2nd; Iraq 3rd. Iraq 3 pts; needs help and GD may be poor.