Qualification scenariosGroup page

Group H qualification scenarios

Spain lead but all four are still alive before simultaneous kickoffs.

Latest scenario update

2026-06-26

Generated from the current scenario dataset on 2026-06-27T06:19:40.366Z.

Group H snapshot

Current table: Spain 4 pts (+4 GD, live / final match left); Uruguay 2 pts (+0 GD, live / final match left); Cape Verde 2 pts (+0 GD, live / final match left); Saudi Arabia 1 pt (-4 GD, live / final match left).

Spain hold first place, Uruguay are in the second automatic slot, and Cape Verde are the main third-place reference point right now.

Relevant fixtures: Uruguay vs Spain (2026-06-26, 20:00 ET / Jun 27 IST, Guadalajara Stadium); Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia (2026-06-26, 20:00 ET / Jun 27 IST, Houston Stadium).
Spain W; Cape Verde W: Spain 1st; Cape Verde 2nd; Uruguay 3rd. Uruguay 2 pts likely out.
Spain W; Cape Verde-Saudi draw: Spain 1st; Cape Verde 2nd; Uruguay/Saudi 3rd. 2-point third likely out.
Spain W; Saudi Arabia W: Spain 1st; Saudi Arabia 2nd; Uruguay/Cape Verde 3rd. 2-point third likely out.

Current standings

Pos	Team	Pts	GD	Status
1	Spain	4	4	LIVE / FINAL MATCH LEFT
2	Uruguay	2	0	LIVE / FINAL MATCH LEFT
3	Cape Verde	2	0	LIVE / FINAL MATCH LEFT
4	Saudi Arabia	1	-4	LIVE / FINAL MATCH LEFT

Remaining fixtures

Uruguay vs Spain

Group H

2026-06-26 | 20:00 ET / Jun 27 IST

Guadalajara Stadium

Spain advance with win/draw; Uruguay advance with win.

Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia

Group H

2026-06-26 | 20:00 ET / Jun 27 IST

Houston Stadium

Cape Verde advance with win; Saudi need win and help.

Result path matrix

Spain W; Cape Verde W

Deterministic on points

Direct effect: Spain 1st; Cape Verde 2nd; Uruguay 3rd

Third-place effect: Uruguay 2 pts likely out

Spain 7, Cape Verde 5, Uruguay 2

Spain W; Cape Verde-Saudi draw

Score-dependent for 3rd between Uruguay and Saudi Arabia

Direct effect: Spain 1st; Cape Verde 2nd; Uruguay/Saudi 3rd

Third-place effect: 2-point third likely out

Cape Verde 3; Uruguay and Saudi 2

Spain W; Saudi Arabia W

Score-dependent between Uruguay and Cape Verde

Direct effect: Spain 1st; Saudi Arabia 2nd; Uruguay/Cape Verde 3rd

Third-place effect: 2-point third likely out

Saudi Arabia 4, Uruguay and Cape Verde 2

Spain-Uruguay draw; Cape Verde W

Cape Verde can top only with large GD swing; otherwise Spain top

Direct effect: Spain/Cape Verde top two; Uruguay 3rd

Third-place effect: Uruguay 3 pts, needs help

Spain 5, Cape Verde 5, Uruguay 3

Spain-Uruguay draw; Cape Verde-Saudi draw

Score-dependent between Uruguay and Cape Verde

Direct effect: Spain 1st; Uruguay/Cape Verde 2nd/3rd

Third-place effect: Uruguay or Cape Verde 3 pts

Both Uruguay and Cape Verde finish 3

Spain-Uruguay draw; Saudi Arabia W

Deterministic on points

Direct effect: Spain 1st; Saudi Arabia 2nd; Uruguay 3rd

Third-place effect: Uruguay 3 pts, needs help

Spain 5, Saudi Arabia 4, Uruguay 3

Uruguay W; Cape Verde W

Score-dependent for 1st/2nd between Uruguay and Cape Verde

Direct effect: Uruguay/Cape Verde top two; Spain 3rd

Third-place effect: Spain 4 pts likely strong third-place candidate

Uruguay 5, Cape Verde 5, Spain 4

Uruguay W; Cape Verde-Saudi draw

Deterministic on points

Direct effect: Uruguay 1st; Spain 2nd; Cape Verde 3rd

Third-place effect: Cape Verde 3 pts, needs help

Uruguay 5, Spain 4, Cape Verde 3

Uruguay W; Saudi Arabia W

Score-dependent but Spain starts +8 GD ahead of Saudi before these games

Direct effect: Uruguay 1st; Spain/Saudi Arabia fight 2nd/3rd

Third-place effect: Spain or Saudi Arabia 4 pts

Uruguay 5, Spain 4, Saudi Arabia 4

Third-place context

Group	Team	Pts	GD	Status	Notes
A	South Korea	3	-1	Can still advance	Known 3rd; not confirmed advanced
B	Bosnia and Herzegovina	4	-1	Advanced	Confirmed 3rd-place qualifier; critical Annex C constraint
C	Scotland	3	-3	Can still advance	Known 3rd; not confirmed advanced
D	Paraguay	4	-2	Can still advance	Known 3rd; 4 pts but source does not mark confirmed
E	Ecuador	4	0	Advanced	Confirmed 3rd-place qualifier
F	Sweden	4	0	Advanced	Confirmed 3rd-place qualifier
G	Belgium	2	0	Current 3rd before final match	Group G still open; third team can change
H	Cape Verde	2	0	Current 3rd before final match	Group H still open; third team can change
I	Senegal	0	-3	Current 3rd before final match	Third team depends on Senegal vs Iraq
J	Algeria	3	-2	Current 3rd before final match	Third team depends on Algeria vs Austria and Jordan vs Argentina
K	DR Congo	1	-1	Current 3rd before final match	Third team depends on Colombia vs Portugal and DR Congo vs Uzbekistan
L	Croatia	3	-1	Current 3rd before final match	Third team depends on Croatia vs Ghana and Panama vs England

Related scenario pages

Use these links to move between group stakes, third-place logic, and the live Round of 32 map.

World Cup 2026 scenarios

Start at the main qualification and bracket hub

Round of 32 scenarios

Stay anchored to the main bracket hub

Group H guide

See the full group page and live table context

World Cup 2026 third-place table

Compare this group with the wider third-place race

Annex C explained

Understand how third-place routing changes opponents

Spain

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Cape Verde

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Saudi Arabia

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Uruguay

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Round of 32 hub Third-place table